๐—˜๐—ป๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—˜๐— ๐—ฆ ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต ๐—˜๐˜…๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐˜ Duquesne Light Company (DLC)

๐—˜๐—ป๐—ต๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—˜๐— ๐—ฆ ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต ๐—˜๐˜…๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜๐˜„๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ธ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป
๐—œ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฏ๐˜† ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฐ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜€๐—ณ๐˜‚๐—น ๐—ถ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐˜ Duquesne Light Company (DLC)

The Opportunity: Simplifying Network Models to Improve Real-Time Reliability

Electric utilities rely on Energy Management Systems (EMS) to provide accurate, real-time insights into the condition of the power grid. A core component of this is the State Estimator (SE), which calculates system status using real-time data and a detailed network model. However, many utilities over-model external systemsโ€”those parts of the grid outside their ownershipโ€”which leads to:

โ€ข Slower EMS performance
โ€ข Unnecessary maintenance complexity
โ€ข Increased data dependency on external entities
โ€ข Reduced system observability and responsiveness

This presents an opportunity to streamline EMS performance by reducing the complexity of external network modeling, without sacrificing accuracy.

Our Approach: Targeted Model Reduction Based on Operational Impact.

Utilicast leverages a proven, practical approach inspired by DLC, which achieved a 53% reduction in modeled external elements and dramatically improved EMS performance.

Key Steps in the Approach:

1. Boundary Identification – We define โ€œcore,โ€ โ€œnear-neighbor,โ€ and โ€œexternalโ€ zones based on regulatory guidance (e.g., NERC TOP-001).
2. Impact Assessment Using Line Outage Distribution Factors (LODFs) – We simulate line outages to identify external components that meaningfully affect the internal system. Only significant components are retained.
3. Model Reduction & Equivalencing – External components with low impact are replaced by simplified equivalents, using real telemetry where applicable.
4. Validation & Monitoring – Automated validation and custom dashboards track estimation quality, model health, and convergence performance across the network.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฉ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜‚๐—ฒ: ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ, ๐—˜๐—ณ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐˜†, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—–๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ
By simplifying external network models, utilities realize:

โ€ข Improved State Estimation Accuracy (6% increase in SE quality at DLC)
โ€ข Faster System Response (11% fewer iterations required)
โ€ข Reduced Operational Complexity
โ€ข Easier Model Maintenance
โ€ข Alignment with NERC Standards
โ€ข Enhanced Situational Awareness through targeted dashboards

Duquesne Light Companyโ€™s experience demonstrated that a streamlined model leads to a more reliable and resilient grid, with fewer errors, less volatility, and greater operational confidence.

Utilicaster, Kiamran Radjabli, and Chad Hirsh from DLC, co-wrote and presented a paper at EEEIC (European chapter of IEEE) in early July detailing all this.